If you’re like me you may have wondered if the U.S./NATO knew what they were setting in motion when they slapped sanctions on Russia and insisted their allies follow suit or else. Within six months Europe’s fuel costs have skyrocketed, factories have shut down for lack of fuel, and citizens are rioting over their energy bills. The Euro is tanking, and the ruble is stronger than ever. With Nordstream 1 & 2 pipelines carrying gas from Russia to Germany fully shut down, a very cold winter is looming.
Was this crisis in Europe unexpected, or planned?
You gotta love whistleblowers. One day they’re pursuing a lucrative career in the service of empire, and the next they’ve had an attack of conscience and leaked information of historic importance. They often pay dearly for this. Let’s hope the mole at the RAND corporation, or one of its many clients, escapes with his or her freedom and life intact.
Copyright page looks authentic but could of course be a forgery. How to evaluate its authenticity?
RAND denied authorship while throwing around a lot of neocon narrative management tropes like “truth decay” and “firehose of falsehood.” Hmm…
One approach to deciding who is deploying the firehose might be to read some authenticated RAND reports and see if this one is consistent in terms of content, strategy, and tone. RAND is best known for being the architect of the first Cold War, and by its own reports in 2020 received more than 75% of its funding from the federal government.
So, for comparison purposes, here is the infamous and fully authenticated RAND study from 2019 planning for regime change in Russia.
“Overextending And Unbalancing Russia: Assessing the Impact of Cost-imposing Options” is widely viewed as the blueprint for using Ukraine as a proxy for NATO to menace Russia.
Russia remains a powerful country that still manages to be a U.S. peer competitor in a few key domains. Recognizing that some level of competition with Russia is inevitable, RAND researchers conducted a qualitative assessment of “cost-imposing options” that could unbalance and overextend Russia. Such cost-imposing options could place new burdens on Russia, ideally heavier burdens than would be imposed on the United States for pursuing those options.
And here is RAND’s 2016 report, “War with China: Thinking Through the Unthinkable.” An excerpt:
the United States can prepare for a long and severe war by reducing its vulnerability to Chinese A2AD forces and developing plans to ensure that economic and international consequences would work to its advantage
Both these reports are well worth reading in their entirety especially if, as a U.S. taxpayer, you paid for them. As for the leaked report, the cynical manipulation of the German Green Party to support the war on Russia via Ukraine is foretold (or, if you doubt the report’s veracity, reflected).
Which brings us to the most suspicious aspect of the leaked report on tanking Germany’s economy: from the Executive Summary’s opening paragraphs, it appears to have been prepared for the Democratic Party among other clients (see title page above listing “DNC”). Since the other recipients are governmental agencies, may we assume that this analysis and report was funded by U.S. taxpayers on behalf of Democrats?
After citing fiscal policies under both the previous administration and the current one (so, both R and D), the report warns of a banking crisis in markets flooded by quantitative easing i.e. printing more dollars. Then, the report goes on to reveal a partisan bias which is unusual for RAND reports I have previously read.
The continuing deterioration of the economic situation is highly likely to lead to a loss in the position of the Democratic Party in Congress and the Senate[sic] in the forthcoming elections to be held in November 2022. The impeachment of the President cannot be ruled out under these circumstances, which must be avoided at all costs.
So, keeping one of the two corporate parties in power is the driving force behind U.S. belligerence and trouble making in Europe?
Cue the “dark Brandon” memes.
*Foreign Policy is a major source of narratives supporting U.S./UK/NATO ambitions. Since we know that some things are best understood in retrospect, here are a couple of current headlines from FP to ponder: